Serie AMatchday 3

Roma 2-1 Atalanta: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Referee:
Colombo

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won57%

our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.4

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost35%

our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRoma199959%45%Draw23%29%Atalanta191218%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%57%O2.557%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Roma1:1AtalantaD
  2. Atalanta1:0RomaL
  3. Atalanta2:1RomaL
  4. Roma0:2AtalantaL
  5. Atalanta2:1RomaL
Roma's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 1
RefereeColombo+0.8 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Roma : Atalanta
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-010%1-09%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%2-08%1-09%3-1—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-08%1-01-09%1-09%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals65%67%67%
1 – Roma win59%49% · Elo 45%49%· Elo 45%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals57%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes56%57%57%
Both teams to score: no44%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals43%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals35%33%33%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
2 – Atalanta win18%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
Attack vs defence
Roma attack vs Atalanta defenceattack1625defence1532+93 pts to the attack
Atalanta attack vs Roma defenceattack1588defence1600−12 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Roma score 2.7 goals per game
  • Atalanta matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Roma: 7 wins in a row
  • Roma: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Roma: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Atalanta: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Roma642014:314
10Atalanta63038:89
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Roma vs Atalanta?

Roma 2-1 Atalanta (half time 0-0).

Did the Roma vs Atalanta tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.