Serie AMatchday 5

Udinese 0-1 Cagliari: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Referee:
Gianluca Manganiello

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won59%

our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8; referee Gianluca Manganiello averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.8

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%

    under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won38%

our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8; referee Gianluca Manganiello averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUdinese177343%44%Draw29%29%Cagliari176127%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%55%O2.543%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cagliari0:2UdineseW
  2. Udinese1:1CagliariD
  3. Cagliari1:2UdineseW
  4. Udinese2:0CagliariW
  5. Udinese1:1CagliariD
Udinese's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.9over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 17
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.8under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 2
RefereeG. Manganiello−0.9 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.7
Udinese : Cagliari
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%2-19%0-19%1-2—2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%0-0—2-19%0-18%1-28%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-011%1-09%0-00-010%0-0—2-12-19%2-19%0-10-19%0-18%1-21-2—1-28%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%68%68%
12 – no draw70%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals70%76%76%
Under 2.5 goals57%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%58%58%
Both teams to score: no51%45%45%
Both teams to score: yes49%55%55%
1 – Udinese win43%42% · Elo 44%42%· Elo 44%
Over 2.5 goals43%51%51%
Under 1.5 goals30%24%24%
X – draw29%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
2 – Cagliari win27%32% · Elo 27%32%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals22%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Udinese attack vs Cagliari defenceattack1483defence14830 pts to the attack
Cagliari attack vs Udinese defenceattack1443defence1445−2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cagliari matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Cagliari: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Udinese: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Cagliari: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Cagliari64116:313
15Udinese61149:134
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Udinese vs Cagliari?

Udinese 0-1 Cagliari (half time 0-0).

Did the Udinese vs Cagliari tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.