Serie AMatchday 4
Atalanta 1-2 Cagliari: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- New Balance Arena, Bergamo
- Referee:
- Alberto Ruben Arena
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won58%
our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won37%
our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%55%O2.551%54%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Cagliari3:2AtalantaL
- Atalanta2:1CagliariW
- Atalanta0:0CagliariD
- Cagliari0:1AtalantaW
- Cagliari2:1AtalantaL
Atalanta's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.8over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.8under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 0
RefereeA. Ruben Arena−0.7 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.8
Atalanta : CagliariMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-011%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-09%2-110%0-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%1-01-011%1-010%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-06%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%69% | 69% |
| 1 – Atalanta win | 58%53% · Elo 61% | 53%· Elo 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Cagliari win | 18%23% · Elo 16% | 23%· Elo 16% |
Attack vs defence
Atalanta attack vs Cagliari defenceattack1584defence1478+106 pts to the attack
Cagliari attack vs Atalanta defenceattack1441defence1521−80 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Atalanta matches average only 2.2 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Cagliari matches average only 2.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Cagliari: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Atalanta: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cagliari: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Atalanta 1-2 Cagliari (half time 1-1).
Did the Atalanta vs Cagliari tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.