J1 LeagueMatchday 10
Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 2hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%63%O2.562%61%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Cerezo Osaka2:0Kawasaki FrontaleW
- Kawasaki Frontale2:0Cerezo OsakaL
- Kawasaki Frontale1:1Cerezo OsakaD
- Cerezo Osaka1:0Kawasaki FrontaleW
- Cerezo Osaka3:0Kawasaki FrontaleW
Cerezo Osaka's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.7league 2.6under 2.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.2
Cerezo Osaka : Kawasaki FrontaleMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%1-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%2-27%1-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-16%0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 59%64% | 64% |
| 2 – Kawasaki Frontale win | 40%36% · Elo 31% | 36%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%39% | 39% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Cerezo Osaka win | 34%40% · Elo 40% | 40%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Cerezo Osaka attack vs Kawasaki Frontale defenceattack1519defence1435+84 pts to the attack
Kawasaki Frontale attack vs Cerezo Osaka defenceattack1587defence1455+132 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%53%
8.549%39%
9.537%28%
10.526%23%
Each team on its own
Cerezo Osakawe expect 4.5, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 4.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 63%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 19.4 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.555%58%
19.547%49%
20.539%42%
21.532%35%
Each team on its own
Cerezo Osakawe expect 9.2, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 44%
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 10.1, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.569%54%
3.548%35%
4.529%19%
5.516%13%
Each team on its own
Cerezo Osakawe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 2.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Cerezo Osaka4 clean sheets in a row at homeoverall: 1Went on 36%League 23%Model 19%Record 9
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cerezo Osaka matches average 11.9 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Cerezo Osaka: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Kawasaki Frontale: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Cerezo Osaka win 34%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale win 40%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Cerezo Osaka 1.5, Kawasaki Frontale 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The J1 League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 07:00 (UK time).