J1 LeagueMatchday 5

Machida 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Machida Stadium, Tokyo
Referee:
Fu Ming

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon58%

goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMachida175746%52%Draw27%26%Kawasaki Frontale164727%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%58%O2.555%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Kawasaki Frontale1:1MachidaD
  2. Machida1:1Kawasaki FrontaleD
  3. Kawasaki Frontale5:3MachidaL
  4. Machida2:2Kawasaki FrontaleD
  5. Machida1:4Kawasaki FrontaleL
Machida's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.4under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 54%Expected cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 0
RefereeF. Ming+0.1 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Machida : Kawasaki Frontale
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-09%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%73%73%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%67%67%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes58%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals55%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%52%52%
1 – Machida win46%48% · Elo 52%48%· Elo 52%
Under 2.5 goals45%44%44%
Both teams to score: no42%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals32%33%33%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
2 – Kawasaki Frontale win27%27% · Elo 22%27%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals21%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Machida attack vs Kawasaki Frontale defenceattack1545defence1435+110 pts to the attack
Kawasaki Frontale attack vs Machida defenceattack1576defence1573+3 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Machida concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Machida matches average only 7.2 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Machida: unbeaten in 15 matches
  • Machida: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kawasaki Frontale: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Machida962122:1020
8Kawasaki Frontale934217:1413
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Machida vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Machida 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale (half time 0-0).

Did the Machida vs Kawasaki Frontale tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.