J1 LeagueMatchday 4

Mito 1-1 Machida: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Mito Shinkin Bank Stadium, Ibaraki
Referee:
Yusuke Ohashi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Won65%

referee Yusuke Ohashi averages 1.8 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.1 cards against a league average of 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Won39%

referee Yusuke Ohashi averages 1.8 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.1 cards against a league average of 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMito153422%18%Draw27%24%Machida175751%58%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%52%O2.544%48%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Mito2:2MachidaD
  2. Machida2:2MitoD
Mito's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.4under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards2.1league 2.6under 2.5: 65%Expected cards: 2.1 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 1
RefereeY. Ohashi−1.2 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.5total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 1.5total 2.6
Mito : Machida
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-113%0-210%0-010%1-29%1-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%0-28%0-08%1-29%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-113%0-111%0-20-210%0-28%0-00-010%0-08%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat78%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals77%74%74%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals71%73%73%
Under 2.5 goals56%52%52%
Both teams to score: no53%48%48%
2 – Machida win51%46% · Elo 58%46%· Elo 58%
1X – home team avoid defeat49%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes47%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals44%48%48%
Under 1.5 goals29%27%27%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals23%26%26%
1 – Mito win22%27% · Elo 18%27%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
Mito attack vs Machida defenceattack1444defence1572−128 pts to the attack
Machida attack vs Mito defenceattack1545defence1422+123 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Machida concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Machida matches average only 7.2 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Machida: unbeaten in 14 matches
  • Mito: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Machida: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mito: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Machida: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Machida962122:1020
13Mito923412:139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mito vs Machida?

Mito 1-1 Machida (half time 1-1).

Did the Mito vs Machida tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip won.