J1 LeagueMatchday 8
V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Cerezo Osaka: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Peace Stadium Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki
- Referee:
- Atsushi Kamimura
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost58%
our numbers: 2.4 cards against a league average of 2.6
For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost33%
under 1.5 cards in 2 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (26% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%58%O2.554%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Cerezo Osaka3:2V-Varen NagasakiL
- V-Varen Nagasaki1:0Cerezo OsakaW
- V-Varen Nagasaki0:2Cerezo OsakaL
- Cerezo Osaka3:1V-Varen NagasakiL
V-Varen Nagasaki's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 58%Expected cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 5
RefereeA. Kamimura−0.4 cards vs average19 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.6total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
V-Varen Nagasaki : Cerezo OsakaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%2-17%0-18%1-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-08%0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-18%0-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%64% | 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%58% | 58% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Cerezo Osaka win | 44%39% · Elo 44% | 39%· Elo 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%32% | 32% |
| 1 – V-Varen Nagasaki win | 29%36% · Elo 28% | 36%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
V-Varen Nagasaki attack vs Cerezo Osaka defenceattack1436defence1447−11 pts to the attack
Cerezo Osaka attack vs V-Varen Nagasaki defenceattack1528defence1434+94 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cerezo Osaka matches average 11.9 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- V-Varen Nagasaki: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cerezo Osaka: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (half time 1-0).
Did the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.