J1 LeagueMatchday 5
V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Gamba Osaka: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Peace Stadium Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki
- Referee:
- Yoshimi Yamashita
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost60%
referee Yoshimi Yamashita averages 1.4 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.3 cards against a league average of 2.6
For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost34%
referee Yoshimi Yamashita averages 1.4 cards a match, league average 2.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%56%O2.550%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- V-Varen Nagasaki1:1Gamba OsakaD
- Gamba Osaka3:2V-Varen NagasakiL
- Gamba Osaka2:1V-Varen NagasakiL
- V-Varen Nagasaki3:0Gamba OsakaW
V-Varen Nagasaki's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards2.3league 2.6under 2.5: 60%Expected cards: 2.3 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 3
RefereeY. Yamashita−1.3 cards vs average5 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.7
V-Varen Nagasaki : Gamba OsakaMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-29%0-08%1-08%2-1—0-2—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%0-0—1-08%2-18%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-19%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%0-00-08%0-0—1-01-08%1-08%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-2—0-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Gamba Osaka win | 39%42% · Elo 44% | 42%· Elo 44% |
| 1 – V-Varen Nagasaki win | 33%32% · Elo 28% | 32%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 28%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
V-Varen Nagasaki attack vs Gamba Osaka defenceattack1427defence1484−57 pts to the attack
Gamba Osaka attack vs V-Varen Nagasaki defenceattack1538defence1431+107 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?
V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Gamba Osaka (half time 0-0).
Did the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.