J1 LeagueMatchday 4

V-Varen Nagasaki 0-3 FC Tokyo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Peace Stadium Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki
Referee:
Futoshi Nakamura

The match in numbers

1X2EloV-Varen Nagasaki155417%28%Draw23%28%FC Tokyo170760%44%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%54%O2.552%49%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. FC Tokyo0:1V-Varen NagasakiW
  2. V-Varen Nagasaki2:5FC TokyoL
V-Varen Nagasaki's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 52%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 3
RefereeF. Nakamura+0.5 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.9total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.4total 2.6
V-Varen Nagasaki : FC Tokyo
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-111%0-211%1-210%1-0—0-07%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%0-2—1-29%1-08%0-08%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%0-20-211%0-2—1-21-210%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-00-07%0-08%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat83%69%69%
12 – no draw77%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals77%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals70%73%73%
2 – FC Tokyo win60%42% · Elo 44%42%· Elo 44%
Over 2.5 goals52%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes51%54%54%
Both teams to score: no49%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals48%51%51%
1X – home team avoid defeat40%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals30%27%27%
X – draw23%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals23%26%26%
1 – V-Varen Nagasaki win17%31% · Elo 28%31%· Elo 28%
Attack vs defence
V-Varen Nagasaki attack vs FC Tokyo defenceattack1440defence1509−69 pts to the attack
FC Tokyo attack vs V-Varen Nagasaki defenceattack1535defence1433+102 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4FC Tokyo962117:820
14V-Varen Nagasaki923411:169
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo?

V-Varen Nagasaki 0-3 FC Tokyo (half time 0-2).