J1 LeagueMatchday 3
Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Gamba Osaka: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Toyota Stadium, Toyota
- Referee:
- Koki Nagamine
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%58%O2.554%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nagoya Grampus2:1Gamba OsakaW
- Gamba Osaka0:0Nagoya GrampusD
- Nagoya Grampus0:2Gamba OsakaL
- Gamba Osaka2:0Nagoya GrampusL
- Gamba Osaka3:2Nagoya GrampusL
Nagoya Grampus's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards2.3league 2.6under 2.5: 59%Expected cards: 2.3 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 4
RefereeK. Nagamine−0.5 cards vs average12 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.9
Nagoya Grampus : Gamba OsakaMost likely scores
Market1-113%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-18%1-28%1-08%0-18%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-08%1-08%0-10-17%0-18%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%42% | 42% |
| 1 – Nagoya Grampus win | 41%38% · Elo 34% | 38%· Elo 34% |
| 2 – Gamba Osaka win | 32%37% · Elo 38% | 37%· Elo 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Gamba Osaka defenceattack1500defence1476+24 pts to the attack
Gamba Osaka attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1559defence1467+92 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nagoya Grampus concede a lot late on: 15 of 35 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Nagoya Grampus: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gamba Osaka: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka?
Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Gamba Osaka (half time 1-1).