J1 LeagueMatchday 7

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Nagoya Grampus: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Peace Stadium Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki
Referee:
Akihiko Ikeuchi

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost56%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (47% of league matches); over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloV-Varen Nagasaki155426%31%Draw25%28%Nagoya Grampus160749%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.556%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. V-Varen Nagasaki1:2Nagoya GrampusL
  2. Nagoya Grampus1:3V-Varen NagasakiW
  3. Nagoya Grampus3:4V-Varen NagasakiW
  4. V-Varen Nagasaki3:0Nagoya GrampusW
V-Varen Nagasaki's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.3under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards2.9league 2.6over 2.5: 54%Expected cards: 2.9 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 2
RefereeA. Ikeuchi+0.7 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
V-Varen Nagasaki : Nagoya Grampus
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-18%1-0—0-28%2-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-19%1-08%0-2—2-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-18%0-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-17%2-18%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%76%76%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%65%65%
Under 3.5 goals66%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals56%51%51%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%61%61%
2 – Nagoya Grampus win49%39% · Elo 40%39%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals44%49%49%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals34%29%29%
1 – V-Varen Nagasaki win26%35% · Elo 31%35%· Elo 31%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals20%24%24%
Attack vs defence
V-Varen Nagasaki attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1429defence1464−35 pts to the attack
Nagoya Grampus attack vs V-Varen Nagasaki defenceattack1503defence1424+79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nagoya Grampus concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Nagoya Grampus: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • V-Varen Nagasaki: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Nagoya Grampus: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14V-Varen Nagasaki923411:169
15Nagoya Grampus93069:159
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Nagoya Grampus (half time 1-0).

Did the V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.