J1 LeagueMatchday 5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Nagoya Grampus: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
Referee:
Hiroyuki Kimura

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSanfrecce Hiroshima176961%52%Draw20%26%Nagoya Grampus160718%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%51%O2.565%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sanfrecce Hiroshima4:2Nagoya GrampusW
  2. Nagoya Grampus2:1Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  3. Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:2Nagoya GrampusL
  4. Nagoya Grampus2:1Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  5. Nagoya Grampus1:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 3
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 52%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 3
RefereeH. Kimura−0.1 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.1total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima : Nagoya Grampus
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-07%2-110%2-09%0-0—3-17%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-08%3-1—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%0-00-0—0-08%3-13-17%3-1—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%77%77%
12 – no draw79%75%75%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals65%49%49%
1 – Sanfrecce Hiroshima win61%52% · Elo 52%52%· Elo 52%
Both teams to score: yes61%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals57%73%73%
Over 3.5 goals43%27%27%
Both teams to score: no39%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals35%51%51%
X – draw20%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
2 – Nagoya Grampus win18%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals15%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Sanfrecce Hiroshima attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1562defence1475+87 pts to the attack
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima defenceattack1514defence1618−104 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nagoya Grampus: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: unbeaten in 10 matches
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Nagoya Grampus: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima962122:620
15Nagoya Grampus93069:159
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Nagoya Grampus (half time 0-0).

Did the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.