J1 LeagueMatchday 4

Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Okayama: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Toyota Stadium, Toyota
Referee:
Hiroki Kasahara

The match in numbers

1X2EloNagoya Grampus160734%40%Draw28%28%Okayama161838%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%50%O2.550%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Nagoya Grampus1:1OkayamaD
  2. Okayama1:1Nagoya GrampusD
  3. Okayama0:1Nagoya GrampusW
  4. Nagoya Grampus0:0OkayamaD
Nagoya Grampus's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 0 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 53%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeH. Kasahara+0.1 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Nagoya Grampus : Okayama
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-19%0-0—2-18%1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%0-09%2-19%1-2—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%0-10-19%0-19%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%71%71%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals72%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes55%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals50%55%55%
Both teams to score: no45%50%50%
2 – Okayama win38%32% · Elo 32%32%· Elo 32%
1 – Nagoya Grampus win34%40% · Elo 40%40%· Elo 40%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals28%24%24%
Under 1.5 goals24%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Okayama defenceattack1508defence1529−21 pts to the attack
Okayama attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1451defence1473−22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nagoya Grampus: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Nagoya Grampus: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Okayama: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Okayama941412:1213
15Nagoya Grampus93069:159
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nagoya Grampus vs Okayama?

Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Okayama (half time 1-1).