J1 LeagueMatchday 6
Nagoya Grampus 1-3 Machida: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Toyota Stadium, Toyota
- Referee:
- Atsushi Kamimura
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost58%
referee Atsushi Kamimura averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 2.6
Other tips
- Both Teams To Score: YesWon57%
goals at both ends in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (53% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost33%
referee Atsushi Kamimura averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 2.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%53%O2.552%49%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Machida0:0Nagoya GrampusD
- Nagoya Grampus2:2MachidaD
- Machida3:1Nagoya GrampusL
- Nagoya Grampus1:2MachidaL
- Machida1:0Nagoya GrampusL
Nagoya Grampus's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.4under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 58%Expected cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 3
RefereeA. Kamimura−0.7 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.4total 2.6
Nagoya Grampus : MachidaMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-29%1-0—0-0—2-17%0-27%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-29%1-09%0-08%2-18%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-19%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-0—0-08%2-12-17%2-18%0-20-27%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Machida win | 42%40% · Elo 48% | 40%· Elo 48% |
| 1 – Nagoya Grampus win | 30%33% · Elo 25% | 33%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Machida defenceattack1507defence1577−70 pts to the attack
Machida attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1545defence1469+76 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nagoya Grampus concede 2.0 goals per game
- Nagoya Grampus: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Machida: unbeaten in 16 matches
- Nagoya Grampus: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Machida: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Machida | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:15 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nagoya Grampus vs Machida?
Nagoya Grampus 1-3 Machida (half time 0-1).
Did the Nagoya Grampus vs Machida tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.