J1 LeagueMatchday 9
Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Nagoya Grampus: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
- Referee:
- Yuzo Sutani
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost57%
under 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (55% of league matches)
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won62%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6; over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 8 (47% of league matches)
For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Lost45%
under 8.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (44% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%62%O2.560%60%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nagoya Grampus3:4Kawasaki FrontaleW
- Kawasaki Frontale4:0Nagoya GrampusW
- Nagoya Grampus2:0Kawasaki FrontaleL
- Kawasaki Frontale2:1Nagoya GrampusW
- Nagoya Grampus2:0Kawasaki FrontaleL
Kawasaki Frontale's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 3
RefereeY. Sutani−0.7 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 60% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
Kawasaki Frontale : Nagoya GrampusMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-08%1-08%1-2—2-2—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%2-07%1-08%1-27%2-26%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-07%1-01-08%1-08%1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%82% | 82% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%62% | 62% |
| 1 – Kawasaki Frontale win | 55%48% · Elo 46% | 48%· Elo 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%38% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Nagoya Grampus win | 21%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Kawasaki Frontale attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1594defence1462+132 pts to the attack
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Kawasaki Frontale defenceattack1490defence1440+50 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.569%53%
8.557%39%
9.544%28%
10.533%23%
Each team on its own
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 5.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 68%
Nagoya Grampuswe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 20.2 in this match, 19.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.560%58%
19.553%48%
20.545%41%
21.538%34%
Each team on its own
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 11.0, league average 9.6 · chance of over 9.5: 64%
Nagoya Grampuswe expect 9.8, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Referee: 18.1 fouls per match on average (16 matches in our data)−1.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 74%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 26%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.548%54%
3.526%35%
4.513%20%
5.55%13%
Each team on its own
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Nagoya Grampuswe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nagoya Grampus: 4 defeats in a row
- Kawasaki Frontale: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Nagoya Grampus: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:15 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Nagoya Grampus (half time 1-1).
Did the Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.