J1 LeagueMatchday 5

Chiba 1-2 Okayama: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
Referee:
Yusuke Ohashi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost64%

referee Yusuke Ohashi averages 1.7 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.1 cards against a league average of 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost38%

referee Yusuke Ohashi averages 1.7 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.1 cards against a league average of 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChiba150424%28%Draw27%28%Okayama161849%45%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%52%O2.546%47%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.4both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.1league 2.6under 2.5: 64%Expected cards: 2.1 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 3
RefereeY. Ohashi−1.3 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.5total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.4total 2.5
Chiba : Okayama
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-111%0-29%1-29%0-09%1-0—2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%0-2—1-29%0-08%1-09%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%0-20-29%0-2—1-21-29%1-29%0-00-09%0-08%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals76%75%75%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals72%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals54%53%53%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes50%52%52%
Both teams to score: no50%48%48%
2 – Okayama win49%41% · Elo 45%41%· Elo 45%
Over 2.5 goals46%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals28%28%28%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
1 – Chiba win24%32% · Elo 28%32%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals24%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Chiba attack vs Okayama defenceattack1431defence1523−92 pts to the attack
Okayama attack vs Chiba defenceattack1449defence1380+69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chiba concede 2.5 goals per game
  • Chiba: 5 defeats in a row
  • Chiba: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Okayama: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Okayama941412:1213
19Chiba91268:195
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Chiba vs Okayama?

Chiba 1-2 Okayama (half time 1-1).

Did the Chiba vs Okayama tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.