J1 LeagueMatchday 11
Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 7d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.556%56%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kawasaki Frontale1:2Vissel KobeL
- Vissel Kobe2:1Kawasaki FrontaleL
- Kawasaki Frontale3:0Vissel KobeW
- Vissel Kobe1:0Kawasaki FrontaleL
- Kawasaki Frontale0:1Vissel KobeL
Kawasaki Frontale's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.7league 2.6over 2.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.6total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Kawasaki Frontale : Vissel KobeMost likely scores
Model1-111%1-29%0-19%2-18%1-08%0-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%2-18%1-07%0-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-19%0-18%2-12-18%2-18%1-01-08%1-07%0-20-2—0-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Vissel Kobe win | 42%39% · Elo 42% | 39%· Elo 42% |
| 1 – Kawasaki Frontale win | 34%35% · Elo 30% | 35%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Kawasaki Frontale attack vs Vissel Kobe defenceattack1587defence1580+7 pts to the attack
Vissel Kobe attack vs Kawasaki Frontale defenceattack1553defence1435+118 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%53%
8.549%39%
9.536%28%
10.526%23%
Each team on its own
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 4.8, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Vissel Kobewe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 21.2 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.567%58%
19.560%49%
20.553%42%
21.546%35%
Each team on its own
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 11.8, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 71%
Vissel Kobewe expect 9.6, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%54%
3.541%35%
4.524%19%
5.512%13%
Each team on its own
Kawasaki Frontalewe expect 2.0, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Vissel Kobewe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vissel Kobe played 3 days ago
- Kawasaki Frontale: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Kawasaki Frontale win 34%, draw 24%, Vissel Kobe win 42%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Kawasaki Frontale 1.4, Vissel Kobe 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?
The J1 League match kicks off 21 October 2026, 11:00 (UK time).