J1 LeagueMatchday 10
Okayama vs Vissel Kobe: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 1hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.545%43%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Vissel Kobe0:3OkayamaW
- Okayama1:4Vissel KobeL
- Okayama1:2Vissel KobeL
- Vissel Kobe2:0OkayamaL
Okayama's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.7league 2.6over 2.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.4
Okayama : Vissel KobeMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%1-09%0-09%1-28%0-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-010%0-09%1-28%0-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-110%0-111%1-01-09%1-010%0-00-09%0-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-20-2—0-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%60% | 60% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Vissel Kobe win | 39%40% · Elo 45% | 40%· Elo 45% |
| 1 – Okayama win | 32%32% · Elo 27% | 32%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%31% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Okayama attack vs Vissel Kobe defenceattack1457defence1580−123 pts to the attack
Vissel Kobe attack vs Okayama defenceattack1553defence1517+36 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.547%53%
8.534%39%
9.523%28%
10.515%23%
Each team on its own
Okayamawe expect 3.7, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Vissel Kobewe expect 3.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 21.3 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.568%58%
19.561%49%
20.554%42%
21.546%35%
Each team on its own
Okayamawe expect 11.9, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 72%
Vissel Kobewe expect 9.5, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%54%
3.552%35%
4.533%19%
5.519%13%
Each team on its own
Okayamawe expect 2.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Vissel Kobewe expect 1.8, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Okayama win 32%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe win 39%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Okayama 1.2, Vissel Kobe 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
The chance that both teams score is 51%.
When is Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
The J1 League match kicks off 18 October 2026, 05:55 (UK time).