J1 LeagueMatchday 6

Okayama 3-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
City Light Stadium, Okayama
Referee:
Takafumi Mikuriya

The match in numbers

1X2EloOkayama161824%26%Draw27%27%Sanfrecce Hiroshima176950%47%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%47%O2.549%41%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Okayama1:0Sanfrecce HiroshimaW
  2. Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:1OkayamaD
  3. Okayama0:1Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  4. Sanfrecce Hiroshima0:1OkayamaW
Okayama's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 57%Expected cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 3
RefereeT. Mikuriya−0.4 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.6total 2.6Attack/defence1.0 : 1.3total 2.3
Okayama : Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-111%0-08%1-0—1-29%0-29%Attack/defence1-113%0-112%0-010%1-010%1-29%0-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-111%0-112%0-00-08%0-010%1-01-0—1-010%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-29%0-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals75%67%67%
12 – no draw74%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals73%80%80%
Both teams to score: yes52%47%47%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals51%59%59%
2 – Sanfrecce Hiroshima win50%43% · Elo 47%43%· Elo 47%
Over 2.5 goals49%41%41%
Both teams to score: no48%53%53%
X – draw27%29% · Elo 27%29%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals27%20%20%
Under 1.5 goals25%33%33%
1 – Okayama win24%29% · Elo 26%29%· Elo 26%
Attack vs defence
Okayama attack vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima defenceattack1452defence1626−174 pts to the attack
Sanfrecce Hiroshima attack vs Okayama defenceattack1568defence1528+40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 goals per game
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: unbeaten in 11 matches
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Okayama: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima962122:620
9Okayama941412:1213
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Okayama 3-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (half time 2-1).