J1 LeagueMatchday 9
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Okayama: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost59%
under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%46%O2.540%39%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Okayama2:0Avispa FukuokaL
- Avispa Fukuoka1:1OkayamaD
- Okayama0:1Avispa FukuokaW
- Avispa Fukuoka1:1OkayamaD
Avispa Fukuoka's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.6league 2.5under 2.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 6
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)72%1X0:1coverageleague 79% · H2H 3/4covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Avispa Fukuoka : OkayamaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-111%0-011%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-111%0-011%1-27%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-010%1-012%0-10-111%0-111%0-00-011%0-011%1-21-28%1-27%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 60%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Okayama win | 38%34% · Elo 39% | 34%· Elo 39% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%34% | 34% |
| 1 – Avispa Fukuoka win | 31%37% · Elo 32% | 37%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 30%30% · Elo 28% | 30%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Avispa Fukuoka attack vs Okayama defenceattack1409defence1523−114 pts to the attack
Okayama attack vs Avispa Fukuoka defenceattack1458defence1519−61 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 7.7 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.550%53%
8.537%39%
9.525%29%
10.516%23%
Each team on its own
Avispa Fukuokawe expect 4.0, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Okayamawe expect 3.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 20.5 in this match, 19.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.563%57%
19.555%48%
20.548%41%
21.540%34%
Each team on its own
Avispa Fukuokawe expect 10.7, league average 9.6 · chance of over 9.5: 61%
Okayamawe expect 9.8, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 59%close to the league averageunder 42%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.580%75%
2.559%54%
3.536%35%
4.520%19%
Each team on its own
Avispa Fukuokawe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Okayamawe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Avispa Fukuoka: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Avispa Fukuoka: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Okayama: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama?
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Okayama (half time 1-0).
Did the Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.