J1 LeagueMatchday 6

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Mito: prediction, tips and result

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Avispa Fukuoka
0-13-02-31-22-3
1-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Mito
4-21-13-11-11-2
Stadium:
Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Referee:
Hiroki Kasahara

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Won60%

6.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.6 in the visitors', league average 9.4; under 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (56% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 2.5Lost55%

    2.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 1.0 in the visitors', league average 2.6; under 2.5 cards in 2 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (50% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Won47%

under 8.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (45% of league matches); 6.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.6 in the visitors', league average 9.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAvispa Fukuoka156747%41%Draw28%28%Mito153425%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%50%O2.543%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.4under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 55%Expected cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 5
RefereeH. Kasahara+0.1 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka : Mito
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-010%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%2-08%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%72%72%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals57%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%56%56%
Both teams to score: no51%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes49%50%50%
1 – Avispa Fukuoka win47%44% · Elo 41%44%· Elo 41%
Over 2.5 goals43%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals30%29%29%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
2 – Mito win25%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals23%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Avispa Fukuoka attack vs Mito defenceattack1430defence1424+6 pts to the attack
Mito attack vs Avispa Fukuoka defenceattack1459defence1526−67 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mito matches average only 1.3 cards (league 2.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Avispa Fukuoka played 3 days ago
  • Mito played 3 days ago

League form

Avispa Fukuoka

Mito

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Mito923412:139
17Avispa Fukuoka921611:137
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Mito (half time 0-0).

Did the Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip won.

See also