J1 LeagueMatchday 5

Mito 4-2 Kashima Antlers: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mito Shinkin Bank Stadium, Ibaraki
Referee:
Yuzo Sutani

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Won65%

our numbers: 2.1 cards against a league average of 2.6; referee Yuzo Sutani averages 1.9 cards a match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost38%

referee Yuzo Sutani averages 1.9 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.1 cards against a league average of 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMito153419%15%Draw25%22%Kashima Antlers178256%63%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%53%O2.550%50%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Kashima Antlers3:0MitoL
  2. Mito1:1Kashima AntlersD
Mito's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards2.1league 2.6under 2.5: 65%Expected cards: 2.1 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 2
RefereeY. Sutani−0.9 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.8total 2.7Attack/defence1.0 : 1.6total 2.7
Mito : Kashima Antlers
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-111%0-211%1-210%0-08%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-111%0-29%1-210%0-07%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-111%0-111%0-20-211%0-29%1-21-210%1-210%0-00-08%0-07%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat81%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals76%75%75%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals72%72%72%
2 – Kashima Antlers win56%51% · Elo 63%51%· Elo 63%
Both teams to score: yes51%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals50%50%50%
Both teams to score: no49%48%48%
1X – home team avoid defeat44%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals28%28%28%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 22%25%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals24%25%25%
1 – Mito win19%24% · Elo 15%24%· Elo 15%
Attack vs defence
Mito attack vs Kashima Antlers defenceattack1444defence1598−154 pts to the attack
Kashima Antlers attack vs Mito defenceattack1593defence1422+171 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mito matches average only 1.3 cards (league 2.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Kashima Antlers: 5 wins in a row
  • Kashima Antlers: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mito: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mito: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kashima Antlers: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Kashima Antlers951319:1616
13Mito923412:139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mito vs Kashima Antlers?

Mito 4-2 Kashima Antlers (half time 2-0).

Did the Mito vs Kashima Antlers tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip won.