J1 LeagueMatchday 4

Verdy 0-2 Kashima Antlers: prediction, tips and result

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0-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Referee:
Atsushi Kamimura

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost63%

referee Atsushi Kamimura averages 2.1 cards a match, league average 2.6; our numbers: 2.2 cards against a league average of 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 1.5Lost37%

referee Atsushi Kamimura averages 2.1 cards a match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVerdy153522%17%Draw29%23%Kashima Antlers178249%60%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%45%O2.539%40%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Verdy2:1Kashima AntlersW
  2. Kashima Antlers2:0VerdyL
  3. Verdy0:1Kashima AntlersL
  4. Kashima Antlers4:0VerdyL
  5. Verdy2:1Kashima AntlersW
Verdy's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.2league 2.6under 2.5: 63%Expected cards: 2.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 4
RefereeA. Kamimura−0.9 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.4total 2.2Attack/defence0.9 : 1.4total 2.3
Verdy : Kashima Antlers
Most likely scores
Market0-114%1-113%0-011%0-210%1-29%1-0—Attack/defence0-113%1-113%0-011%0-29%1-29%1-09%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-114%0-113%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-011%0-011%0-20-210%0-29%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%80%80%
X2 – away team avoid defeat78%75%75%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals67%67%67%
Under 2.5 goals61%60%60%
Both teams to score: no56%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%53%53%
2 – Kashima Antlers win49%47% · Elo 60%47%· Elo 60%
Both teams to score: yes44%45%45%
Over 2.5 goals39%40%40%
Under 1.5 goals33%33%33%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 23%28%· Elo 23%
1 – Verdy win22%25% · Elo 17%25%· Elo 17%
Over 3.5 goals19%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Verdy attack vs Kashima Antlers defenceattack1377defence1589−212 pts to the attack
Kashima Antlers attack vs Verdy defenceattack1584defence1510+74 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Verdy score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Kashima Antlers: 4 wins in a row
  • Kashima Antlers: 22 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Verdy: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Kashima Antlers: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Kashima Antlers951319:1616
20Verdy90454:144
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?

Verdy 0-2 Kashima Antlers (half time 0-1).

Did the Verdy vs Kashima Antlers tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.