J1 LeagueMatchday 8

Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Referee:
Koji Takasaki

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost60%

6.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.4 in the visitors', league average 9.4

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Lost48%

6.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.4 in the visitors', league average 9.4; under 8.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 7 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAvispa Fukuoka156719%21%Draw24%25%Sanfrecce Hiroshima176957%54%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%48%O2.553%43%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Avispa Fukuoka2:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaD
  2. Sanfrecce Hiroshima0:1Avispa FukuokaW
  3. Avispa Fukuoka1:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaL
  4. Sanfrecce Hiroshima2:1Avispa FukuokaL
  5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:0Avispa FukuokaL
Avispa Fukuoka's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 9.4under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 52%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 6
RefereeK. Takasaki0.0 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.8total 2.8Attack/defence1.0 : 1.4total 2.4
Avispa Fukuoka : Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-110%0-210%1-210%0-07%1-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-112%0-29%1-29%0-09%1-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-110%0-112%0-20-210%0-29%1-21-210%1-29%0-00-07%0-09%1-01-0—1-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat81%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals78%69%69%
12 – no draw76%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals69%78%78%
2 – Sanfrecce Hiroshima win57%47% · Elo 54%47%· Elo 54%
Over 2.5 goals53%43%43%
Both teams to score: yes53%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals47%57%57%
Both teams to score: no47%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat43%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals31%22%22%
X – draw24%28% · Elo 25%28%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals22%31%31%
1 – Avispa Fukuoka win19%26% · Elo 21%26%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Avispa Fukuoka attack vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima defenceattack1418defence1616−198 pts to the attack
Sanfrecce Hiroshima attack vs Avispa Fukuoka defenceattack1608defence1530+78 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.6 goals per game
  • Avispa Fukuoka matches average only 7.3 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Avispa Fukuoka: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Avispa Fukuoka: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima962122:620
17Avispa Fukuoka921611:137
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (half time 0-0).

Did the Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.