Eerste DivisieMatchday 10

Roda JC 1-1 Jong Eindhoven: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Parkstad Limburg, Kerkrade

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost56%

under 10.5 corners in 9 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (52% of league matches); 7.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.0 in the visitors', league average 10.5

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost45%

under 9.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (40% of league matches); 7.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.0 in the visitors', league average 10.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRoda JC131463%52%Draw20%24%Jong Eindhoven124517%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.567%57%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Roda JC0:2Jong EindhovenL
  2. Jong Eindhoven0:1Roda JCW
  3. Roda JC2:1Jong EindhovenW
  4. Jong Eindhoven2:3Roda JCW
  5. Jong Eindhoven2:3Roda JCW
Roda JC's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.5under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 0
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.1total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 3.0
Roda JC : Jong Eindhoven
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%2-09%1-07%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-08%1-09%3-1—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-08%1-01-07%1-09%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%73%73%
12 – no draw80%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals67%57%57%
1 – Roda JC win63%49% · Elo 52%49%· Elo 52%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals55%65%65%
Over 3.5 goals45%35%35%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat37%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals33%43%43%
X – draw20%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
2 – Jong Eindhoven win17%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Roda JC attack vs Jong Eindhoven defenceattack1452defence1454−2 pts to the attack
Jong Eindhoven attack vs Roda JC defenceattack1493defence1561−68 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.552%57%
10.540%40%
11.529%32%
12.521%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Roda JCwe expect 5.0, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 39%
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 23.6 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.555%48%
23.548%46%
24.542%35%
25.535%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Roda JCwe expect 11.6, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 39%
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 11.9, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.574%58%
3.554%30%
4.535%21%
5.520%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Roda JCwe expect 2.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 1.8, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 52%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jong Eindhoven concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Roda JC: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Roda JC: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Jong Eindhoven: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Roda JC1044210:816
12Jong Eindhoven1034315:1713
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Roda JC vs Jong Eindhoven?

Roda JC 1-1 Jong Eindhoven (half time 0-0).

Did the Roda JC vs Jong Eindhoven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.