Eerste DivisieMatchday 6

Helmond 3-1 Jong Eindhoven: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
SolarUnie Stadion, Helmond
Referee:
Joshua Kuipers

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon68%

goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (65% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won56%

    under 10.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (50% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHelmond119135%36%Draw25%26%Jong Eindhoven124540%38%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%59%O2.566%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong Eindhoven4:0HelmondL
  2. Helmond2:3Jong EindhovenL
  3. Helmond1:1Jong EindhovenD
  4. Jong Eindhoven1:3HelmondW
  5. Helmond2:2Jong EindhovenD
Helmond's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.6under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Kuipers+0.1 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.8total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 2.9
Helmond : Jong Eindhoven
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%1-0—2-27%0-1—2-0—0-25%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—0-17%2-07%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-07%0-20-25%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%79%79%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes68%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals66%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals56%66%66%
Over 3.5 goals44%34%34%
2 – Jong Eindhoven win40%33% · Elo 38%33%· Elo 38%
1 – Helmond win35%42% · Elo 36%42%· Elo 36%
Under 2.5 goals34%44%44%
Both teams to score: no32%41%41%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals14%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Helmond attack vs Jong Eindhoven defenceattack1395defence1465−70 pts to the attack
Jong Eindhoven attack vs Helmond defenceattack1495defence1511−16 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Helmond matches average only 8.1 corners (league 10.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Helmond: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Jong Eindhoven: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Jong Eindhoven1034315:1713
17Helmond1023516:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Helmond vs Jong Eindhoven?

Helmond 3-1 Jong Eindhoven (half time 1-1).

Did the Helmond vs Jong Eindhoven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.