Eerste DivisieMatchday 9

Jong Eindhoven 1-1 Jong AZ Alkmaar: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Referee:
Jorg Ordelmans

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost59%

our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3; over 3.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (43% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won60%

    under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (55% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:2Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloJong Eindhoven124538%41%Draw23%26%Jong AZ Alkmaar128140%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS76%69%O2.578%69%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jong AZ Alkmaar0:2Jong EindhovenW
  2. Jong Eindhoven1:0Jong AZ AlkmaarW
  3. Jong AZ Alkmaar2:2Jong EindhovenD
  4. Jong Eindhoven2:1Jong AZ AlkmaarW
  5. Jong AZ Alkmaar4:1Jong EindhovenL
Jong Eindhoven's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Ordelmansfirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 2.1total 4.1Attack/defence1.9 : 1.7total 3.6
Jong Eindhoven : Jong AZ Alkmaar
Most likely scores
Market1-17%2-17%1-27%2-27%3-1—1-0—2-35%Attack/defence1-19%2-19%1-28%2-27%3-15%1-05%2-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-19%2-12-17%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-1—3-15%1-01-0—1-05%2-32-35%2-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals92%87%87%
12 – no draw78%78%78%
Over 2.5 goals78%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes76%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%66%66%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals59%48%48%
Under 3.5 goals41%52%52%
2 – Jong AZ Alkmaar win40%34% · Elo 34%34%· Elo 34%
1 – Jong Eindhoven win38%43% · Elo 41%43%· Elo 41%
Both teams to score: no24%31%31%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 2.5 goals22%31%31%
Under 1.5 goals8%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Jong Eindhoven attack vs Jong AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1490defence1451+39 pts to the attack
Jong AZ Alkmaar attack vs Jong Eindhoven defenceattack1551defence1458+93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Jong Eindhoven played 3 days ago
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Jong AZ Alkmaar1041522:1813
12Jong Eindhoven1034315:1713
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jong Eindhoven vs Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Jong Eindhoven 1-1 Jong AZ Alkmaar (half time 1-0).

Did the Jong Eindhoven vs Jong AZ Alkmaar tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip lost.