Eerste DivisieMatchday 7

Waalwijk 6-1 MVV Maastricht: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
Referee:
Richard Martens

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won59%

under 10.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (50% of league matches); 8.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 10.6

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won47%

under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (39% of league matches); 8.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.3 in the visitors', league average 10.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWaalwijk138959%66%Draw22%19%MVV Maastricht119319%15%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%58%O2.563%63%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. MVV Maastricht1:3WaalwijkW
  2. Waalwijk1:0MVV MaastrichtW
  3. MVV Maastricht1:4WaalwijkW
  4. Waalwijk3:1MVV MaastrichtW
  5. Waalwijk1:1MVV MaastrichtD
Waalwijk's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.6under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 2
RefereeR. Martens0.0 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.3
Waalwijk : MVV Maastricht
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-09%1-07%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-19%2-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-19%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-07%1-08%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%84%84%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%83%83%
12 – no draw78%80%80%
Over 2.5 goals63%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes60%58%58%
1 – Waalwijk win59%63% · Elo 66%63%· Elo 66%
Under 3.5 goals59%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%37%37%
Over 3.5 goals41%41%41%
Both teams to score: no40%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals37%37%37%
X – draw22%20% · Elo 19%20%· Elo 19%
2 – MVV Maastricht win19%17% · Elo 15%17%· Elo 15%
Under 1.5 goals16%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Waalwijk attack vs MVV Maastricht defenceattack1576defence1455+121 pts to the attack
MVV Maastricht attack vs Waalwijk defenceattack1402defence1556−154 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Waalwijk score 2.4 goals per game
  • Waalwijk matches average only 8.3 corners (league 10.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Waalwijk: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • MVV Maastricht: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7MVV Maastricht1051413:2016
9Waalwijk1035219:1514
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht?

Waalwijk 6-1 MVV Maastricht (half time 3-0).

Did the Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.