EredivisieMatchday 4
Excelsior 2-1 Sparta: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
- Referee:
- Serdar Gozubuyuk
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sparta2:3ExcelsiorW
- Excelsior0:1SpartaL
- Sparta4:2ExcelsiorL
- Excelsior2:1SpartaW
- Excelsior1:4SpartaL
Excelsior's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.2under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Gozubuyuk+0.4 cards vs average43 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Excelsior : SpartaMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%2-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-06%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Excelsior win | 43%45% · Elo 37% | 45%· Elo 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%33% | 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%42% | 42% |
| 2 – Sparta win | 31%30% · Elo 33% | 30%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Excelsior attack vs Sparta defenceattack1447defence1468−21 pts to the attack
Sparta attack vs Excelsior defenceattack1452defence1472−20 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sparta concede 2.0 goals per game
- Excelsior matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Sparta concede a lot late on: 15 of 36 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Excelsior: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sparta: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Sparta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Excelsior vs Sparta?
Excelsior 2-1 Sparta (half time 1-0).