EredivisieMatchday 8
For Sittard 1-1 Twente: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard-Geleen
- Referee:
- Robin Hensgens
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Match Result: TwenteLost67%
Twente: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 5 of their last 7 league matches
Other tips
- Shots on Target – Twente: Over 4.5Won68%
Twente: 7.4 shots on target a match, For Sittard's opponents had 6.0 on average, league average 4.7; our numbers for Twente: 5.9 shots on target against a league average of 4.7
- Fouls – For Sittard: Under 8.5Won58%
our numbers for For Sittard: 8.1 fouls against a league average of 9.4; For Sittard: under 8.5 fouls in 4 of their last 7 league matches, Twente's opponents committed under 8.5 in 5 of 7 (41% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.570%56%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- For Sittard1:2TwenteL
- Twente3:2For SittardL
- Twente1:1For SittardD
- For Sittard1:2TwenteL
- Twente2:0For SittardL
For Sittard's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.1under 3.5: 66%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 1
RefereeR. Hensgens+0.1 yellow cards vs average34 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%BTTS yes0:2coverageleague 65% · H2H 5/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.5total 3.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.7total 2.9
For Sittard : TwenteMost likely scores
Market1-18%1-29%0-1—0-28%1-38%0-37%2-1—1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-210%0-19%0-28%1-3—0-3—2-17%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-112%1-21-29%1-210%0-10-1—0-19%0-20-28%0-28%1-31-38%1-3—0-30-37%0-3—2-12-1—2-17%1-01-0—1-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%79% | 79% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 85%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%56% | 56% |
| Our tip: 2 – Twente win | 68%48% · Elo 53% | 48%· Elo 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%66% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%42% | 42% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 32%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 17%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| 1 – For Sittard win | 15%28% · Elo 21% | 28%· Elo 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
For Sittard attack vs Twente defenceattack1436defence1615−179 pts to the attack
Twente attack vs For Sittard defenceattack1581defence1456+125 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.557%51%
10.545%42%
11.534%34%
12.525%21%
Each team on its own
For Sittardwe expect 4.4, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 28%
Twentewe expect 5.9, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 68%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 19.0 in this match, 19.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.552%59%
19.544%50%
20.537%43%
21.530%36%
Each team on its own
For Sittardwe expect 8.1, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 30%
Twentewe expect 9.9, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Referee: 21.3 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)+1.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%70%
2.548%47%
3.527%28%
4.513%13%
Each team on its own
For Sittardwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Twentewe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- For Sittard concede 2.0 goals per game
- For Sittard: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- For Sittard: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Twente: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 7 | For Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of For Sittard vs Twente?
For Sittard 1-1 Twente (half time 1-1).
Did the For Sittard vs Twente tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Twente. The tip lost.