EredivisieMatchday 7

Willem II 0-1 For Sittard: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Referee:
Dennis John Higler

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost62%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won66%

    1.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 3.2

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost40%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (42% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWillem II141438%32%Draw26%29%For Sittard153137%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. For Sittard1:0Willem IIL
  2. Willem II0:0For SittardD
  3. For Sittard1:0Willem IIL
  4. Willem II1:1For SittardD
  5. Willem II2:1For SittardW
Willem II's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.4under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards2.9league 3.2under 3.5: 66%Expected cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3
RefereeD. John Higler−0.4 cards vs average25 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Willem II : For Sittard
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-28%1-06%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-26%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-07%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%80%80%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes64%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%61%61%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals62%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals60%65%65%
Over 3.5 goals40%35%35%
1 – Willem II win38%39% · Elo 32%39%· Elo 32%
Under 2.5 goals38%43%43%
2 – For Sittard win37%36% · Elo 39%36%· Elo 39%
Both teams to score: no36%40%40%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals16%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Willem II attack vs For Sittard defenceattack1381defence1451−70 pts to the attack
For Sittard attack vs Willem II defenceattack1438defence1410+28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Willem II concede 2.2 goals per game
  • For Sittard concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Willem II matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • For Sittard: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Willem II: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • For Sittard: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7For Sittard842214:1514
18Willem II80267:232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Willem II vs For Sittard?

Willem II 0-1 For Sittard (half time 0-0).

Did the Willem II vs For Sittard tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.