EredivisieMatchday 5
Willem II 0-3 Excelsior: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
- Referee:
- Robin Hensgens
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.559%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Excelsior1:1Willem IID
- Willem II2:2ExcelsiorD
- Excelsior2:1Willem IIL
- Willem II1:2ExcelsiorL
- Excelsior0:2Willem IIW
Willem II's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.5under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.2under 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 3
RefereeR. Hensgens+0.1 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Willem II : ExcelsiorMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-17%2-2—0-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-18%2-26%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-18%2-22-2—2-26%0-20-26%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%55% | 55% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%64% | 64% |
| 2 – Excelsior win | 42%36% · Elo 38% | 36%· Elo 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%33% | 33% |
| 1 – Willem II win | 31%39% · Elo 33% | 39%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Willem II attack vs Excelsior defenceattack1390defence1481−91 pts to the attack
Excelsior attack vs Willem II defenceattack1443defence1425+18 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Excelsior matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Excelsior matches average only 8.2 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Excelsior: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Willem II: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Excelsior: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 11 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Willem II vs Excelsior?
Willem II 0-3 Excelsior (half time 0-2).