EredivisieMatchday 6
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem II: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
- Referee:
- Martin Van den Kerkhof
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won74%
referee Martin Van den Kerkhof averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.2; our numbers: 2.6 cards against a league average of 3.2
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost57%
our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3
For the brave
Correct Score: 4:0Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%56%O2.576%64%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Willem II0:2AZ AlkmaarW
- AZ Alkmaar1:2Willem IIL
- Willem II2:2AZ AlkmaarD
- AZ Alkmaar4:1Willem IIW
- Willem II0:1AZ AlkmaarW
AZ Alkmaar's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards2.6league 3.2under 3.5: 74%Expected cards: 2.6 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Van den Kerkhof−1.1 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.3 : 0.8total 4.1Attack/defence2.4 : 1.0total 3.3
AZ Alkmaar : Willem IIMost likely scores
Market2-010%3-010%2-17%4-09%1-1—1-0—3-18%Attack/defence2-010%3-08%2-110%4-0—1-18%1-08%3-18%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-010%3-03-010%3-08%2-12-17%2-110%4-04-09%4-0—1-11-1—1-18%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-18%3-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 95%87% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 91%82% | 82% |
| 1 – AZ Alkmaar win | 85%69% · Elo 78% | 69%· Elo 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76%64% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24%36% | 36% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 16%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 10%18% · Elo 14% | 18%· Elo 14% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%16% | 16% |
| 2 – Willem II win | 6%13% · Elo 8% | 13%· Elo 8% |
Attack vs defence
AZ Alkmaar attack vs Willem II defenceattack1584defence1418+166 pts to the attack
Willem II attack vs AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1380defence1583−203 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- AZ Alkmaar score 2.5 goals per game
- AZ Alkmaar matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- AZ Alkmaar: 5 wins in a row
- AZ Alkmaar: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Willem II: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem II (half time 1-0).
Did the AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.