EredivisieMatchday 5
Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
- Referee:
- Jeroen Manschot
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won70%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won49%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%63%O2.570%60%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- AZ Alkmaar3:0HeerenveenL
- Heerenveen3:1AZ AlkmaarW
- AZ Alkmaar4:1HeerenveenL
- Heerenveen3:1AZ AlkmaarW
- AZ Alkmaar9:1HeerenveenL
Heerenveen's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses5.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.1league 10.5over 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 11.1 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.2under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Manschot+0.7 cards vs average37 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 2.1total 3.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
Heerenveen : AZ AlkmaarMost likely scores
Market1-19%1-29%2-16%2-27%0-1—1-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-17%1-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-16%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-17%1-01-0—1-06%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 74%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 70%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69%63% | 63% |
| 2 – AZ Alkmaar win | 51%41% · Elo 47% | 41%· Elo 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 49%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Heerenveen win | 26%34% · Elo 25% | 34%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Heerenveen attack vs AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1492defence1583−91 pts to the attack
AZ Alkmaar attack vs Heerenveen defenceattack1577defence1480+97 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- AZ Alkmaar score 2.4 goals per game
- AZ Alkmaar matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- AZ Alkmaar matches average 12.9 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- AZ Alkmaar: 4 wins in a row
- Heerenveen: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- AZ Alkmaar: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?
Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar (half time 2-1).
Did the Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.