EredivisieMatchday 7

Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Grolsch Veste Stadium, Enschede
Referee:
Serdar Gozubuyuk

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won55%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (42% of league matches); our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:2Lost7%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTwente174733%20%Draw23%26%PSV Eindhoven196144%54%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS74%66%O2.575%65%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. PSV Eindhoven5:1TwenteL
  2. Twente0:2PSV EindhovenL
  3. Twente1:3PSV EindhovenL
  4. PSV Eindhoven6:1TwenteL
  5. PSV Eindhoven1:0TwenteL
Twente's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4over 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.2under 4.5: 76%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 76% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Gozubuyuk+0.3 cards vs average45 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 2.1total 3.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.7total 3.3
Twente : PSV Eindhoven
Most likely scores
Market1-18%1-28%2-17%2-27%1-36%0-1—0-2—Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%1-3—0-16%0-25%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%1-31-36%1-3—0-10-1—0-16%0-20-2—0-25%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals91%85%85%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes74%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%59%59%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals55%43%43%
Under 3.5 goals45%57%57%
2 – PSV Eindhoven win44%41% · Elo 54%41%· Elo 54%
1 – Twente win33%35% · Elo 20%35%· Elo 20%
Both teams to score: no26%34%34%
Under 2.5 goals25%35%35%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals9%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Twente attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1574defence1618−44 pts to the attack
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Twente defenceattack1748defence1615+133 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • PSV Eindhoven score 3.9 goals per game
  • PSV Eindhoven: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • PSV Eindhoven: 5 wins in a row
  • PSV Eindhoven: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Twente: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • PSV Eindhoven: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2PSV Eindhoven861126:1019
4Twente852116:817
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven (half time 1-2).

Did the Twente vs PSV Eindhoven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.