EredivisieMatchday 4

Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven: prediction, tips and result

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1-6Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Referee:
Jeroen Manschot

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won75%

our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUtrecht164316%15%Draw18%23%PSV Eindhoven196166%62%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%65%O2.575%65%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. PSV Eindhoven4:3UtrechtL
  2. Utrecht1:2PSV EindhovenL
  3. PSV Eindhoven2:2UtrechtD
  4. Utrecht2:5PSV EindhovenL
  5. Utrecht1:1PSV EindhovenD
Utrecht's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.2under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 6
RefereeJ. Manschot+0.7 cards vs average36 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 2.6total 3.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.8total 3.3
Utrecht : PSV Eindhoven
Most likely scores
Market1-17%1-29%1-38%2-1—0-27%2-2—0-1—0-36%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%1-3—2-17%0-26%2-27%0-16%0-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-31-38%1-3—2-12-1—2-17%0-20-27%0-26%2-22-2—2-27%0-10-1—0-16%0-30-36%0-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals91%85%85%
X2 – away team avoid defeat84%69%69%
12 – no draw82%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals75%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes68%65%65%
2 – PSV Eindhoven win66%46% · Elo 62%46%· Elo 62%
Over 3.5 goals55%43%43%
Under 3.5 goals45%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat34%54%54%
Both teams to score: no32%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals25%35%35%
X – draw18%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
1 – Utrecht win16%31% · Elo 15%31%· Elo 15%
Under 1.5 goals9%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Utrecht attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1526defence1604−78 pts to the attack
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1715defence1543+172 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • PSV Eindhoven score 3.3 goals per game
  • PSV Eindhoven: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • PSV Eindhoven: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Utrecht: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • PSV Eindhoven: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2PSV Eindhoven861126:1019
13Utrecht822414:258
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven (half time 1-2).

Did the Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.