EredivisieMatchday 5
Ajax 1-3 PSV Eindhoven: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam
- Referee:
- Sander van der Eijk
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won74%
our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost8%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS74%65%O2.574%64%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ajax2:2PSV EindhovenD
- PSV Eindhoven2:2AjaxD
- PSV Eindhoven0:2AjaxW
- Ajax3:2PSV EindhovenW
- Ajax1:1PSV EindhovenD
Ajax's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 2
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 9
RefereeS. van der Eijk+0.3 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.9total 3.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.7total 3.3
Ajax : PSV EindhovenMost likely scores
Market1-18%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-1—0-2—1-35%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%0-26%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-16%0-20-2—0-26%1-31-35%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 74%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 74%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%66% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54%42% | 42% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 46%58% | 58% |
| 1 – Ajax win | 38%34% · Elo 25% | 34%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – PSV Eindhoven win | 38%42% · Elo 47% | 42%· Elo 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26%36% | 36% |
| Both teams to score: no | 26%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Ajax attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1552defence1617−65 pts to the attack
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Ajax defenceattack1740defence1609+131 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- PSV Eindhoven score 3.8 goals per game
- PSV Eindhoven: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Ajax concede only 0.6 goals per game
- PSV Eindhoven: unbeaten in 10 matches
- PSV Eindhoven: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Ajax: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- PSV Eindhoven: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ajax 1-3 PSV Eindhoven (half time 1-2).
Did the Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.