EredivisieMatchday 4
Telstar 0-4 Ajax: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Rabobank IJmond Stadion, Velsen
- Referee:
- Dennis John Higler
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won74%
our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%59%O2.574%56%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Telstar2:3AjaxL
- Ajax2:0TelstarL
Telstar's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 0
RefereeD. John Higler−0.3 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.7total 3.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.6total 2.9
Telstar : AjaxMost likely scores
Market1-17%1-29%0-1—1-38%0-28%2-1—0-37%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%1-3—0-27%2-18%0-3—1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-1—0-18%1-31-38%1-3—0-20-28%0-27%2-12-1—2-18%0-30-37%0-3—1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%79% | 79% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 87%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%75% | 75% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 74%56% | 56% |
| 2 – Ajax win | 71%44% · Elo 63% | 44%· Elo 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53%33% | 33% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 47%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%41% | 41% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 29%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 16%25% · Elo 22% | 25%· Elo 22% |
| 1 – Telstar win | 13%31% · Elo 15% | 31%· Elo 15% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Telstar attack vs Ajax defenceattack1450defence1598−148 pts to the attack
Ajax attack vs Telstar defenceattack1545defence1455+90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Telstar: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Ajax concede a lot late on: 8 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Telstar: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Ajax: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 15 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Telstar vs Ajax?
Telstar 0-4 Ajax (half time 0-1).
Did the Telstar vs Ajax tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.