EredivisieMatchday 6
PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
- Referee:
- Danny Makkelie
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won65%
our numbers: 4.4 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3; over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (42% of league matches)
Other tips
- Cards: Under 3.5Won61%
under 3.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (61% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost8%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%60%O2.582%75%|exp. goals 2.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sparta0:2PSV EindhovenW
- PSV Eindhoven6:1SpartaW
- Sparta1:3PSV EindhovenW
- PSV Eindhoven2:1SpartaW
- PSV Eindhoven4:2SpartaW
PSV Eindhoven's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Makkelie−0.2 cards vs average42 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.4 : 1.0total 4.4Attack/defence2.9 : 1.0total 3.9
PSV Eindhoven : SpartaMost likely scores
Market2-17%2-07%3-18%3-08%4-17%1-1—Attack/defence2-19%2-09%3-18%3-08%4-16%1-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-17%2-19%2-02-07%2-09%3-13-18%3-18%3-03-08%3-08%4-14-17%4-16%1-11-1—1-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 94%90% | 90% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92%90% | 90% |
| 12 – no draw | 89%86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82%75% | 75% |
| 1 – PSV Eindhoven win | 81%76% · Elo 83% | 76%· Elo 83% |
| Our tip: Over 3.5 goals | 65%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%40% | 40% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 35%46% | 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 19%24% | 24% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 18%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 11%14% · Elo 11% | 14%· Elo 11% |
| 2 – Sparta win | 8%10% · Elo 6% | 10%· Elo 6% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 6%10% | 10% |
Attack vs defence
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Sparta defenceattack1744defence1465+279 pts to the attack
Sparta attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1448defence1621−173 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- PSV Eindhoven score 3.7 goals per game
- Sparta concede 2.4 goals per game
- PSV Eindhoven: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sparta: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- PSV Eindhoven: 4 wins in a row
- PSV Eindhoven: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- PSV Eindhoven: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sparta: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
| 14 | Sparta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta?
PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta (half time 2-1).
Did the PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.