EredivisieMatchday 5

Sparta 2-2 Zwolle: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Referee:
Stan Teuben

The match in numbers

1X2EloSparta152746%46%Draw26%28%Zwolle148628%26%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sparta1:1ZwolleD
  2. Zwolle1:0SpartaL
  3. Sparta1:1ZwolleD
  4. Zwolle1:0SpartaL
  5. Sparta0:2ZwolleL
Sparta's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 19
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Teuben+0.3 cards vs average31 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Sparta : Zwolle
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals62%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes62%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals61%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%49%49%
1 – Sparta win46%51% · Elo 46%51%· Elo 46%
Under 2.5 goals39%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals38%35%35%
Both teams to score: no38%41%41%
2 – Zwolle win28%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
X – draw26%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Sparta attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1445defence1426+19 pts to the attack
Zwolle attack vs Sparta defenceattack1406defence1470−64 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zwolle concede 2.6 goals per game
  • Sparta concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Sparta: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sparta concede a lot late on: 16 of 38 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Sparta: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Zwolle: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Sparta813413:206
16Zwolle81166:214
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sparta vs Zwolle?

Sparta 2-2 Zwolle (half time 1-1).