EredivisieMatchday 6

Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Referee:
Dennis John Higler

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost71%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won67%

    under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (62% of league matches); 1.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 3.2

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost50%

over 3.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (42% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGo Ahead Eagles159341%42%Draw24%29%Groningen162535%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%65%O2.571%64%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Groningen0:0Go Ahead EaglesD
  2. Go Ahead Eagles1:1GroningenD
  3. Go Ahead Eagles2:1GroningenW
  4. Groningen0:1Go Ahead EaglesW
  5. Go Ahead Eagles1:1GroningenD
Go Ahead Eagles's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.9league 3.2under 3.5: 67%Expected cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 1
RefereeD. John Higler−0.4 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.8total 3.7Attack/defence1.8 : 1.5total 3.3
Go Ahead Eagles : Groningen
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-18%1-27%2-27%1-0—2-0—3-15%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-06%2-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-15%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%84%84%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes71%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals50%42%42%
Under 3.5 goals50%58%58%
1 – Go Ahead Eagles win41%46% · Elo 42%46%· Elo 42%
2 – Groningen win35%31% · Elo 29%31%· Elo 29%
Under 2.5 goals29%36%36%
Both teams to score: no29%35%35%
X – draw24%23% · Elo 29%23%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals11%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Go Ahead Eagles attack vs Groningen defenceattack1525defence1499+26 pts to the attack
Groningen attack vs Go Ahead Eagles defenceattack1479defence1438+41 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Groningen concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Go Ahead Eagles concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Go Ahead Eagles matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Groningen: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Go Ahead Eagles: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Go Ahead Eagles: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Groningen: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Groningen842220:1414
8Go Ahead Eagles825119:1711
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?

Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen (half time 0-1).

Did the Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.