EredivisieMatchday 5

Utrecht 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Referee:
Martin Van den Kerkhof

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 2.5Lost56%

referee Martin Van den Kerkhof averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 3.2; our numbers: 2.5 cards against a league average of 3.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUtrecht164045%48%Draw25%28%Go Ahead Eagles159030%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%64%O2.563%64%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Utrecht2:0Go Ahead EaglesW
  2. Go Ahead Eagles2:2UtrechtD
  3. Go Ahead Eagles2:2UtrechtD
  4. Utrecht3:3Go Ahead EaglesD
  5. Utrecht1:1Go Ahead EaglesD
Utrecht's record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards2.5league 3.2under 3.5: 76%Expected cards: 2.5 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Van den Kerkhof−1.2 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence2.0 : 1.3total 3.3
Utrecht : Go Ahead Eagles
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%2-06%1-27%2-27%1-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-07%1-27%2-26%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-06%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-26%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%84%84%
12 – no draw75%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes65%64%64%
Over 2.5 goals63%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals59%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%49%49%
1 – Utrecht win45%52% · Elo 48%52%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals41%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals37%36%36%
Both teams to score: no35%36%36%
2 – Go Ahead Eagles win30%26% · Elo 24%26%· Elo 24%
X – draw25%23% · Elo 28%23%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals16%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Utrecht attack vs Go Ahead Eagles defenceattack1515defence1447+68 pts to the attack
Go Ahead Eagles attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1510defence1516−6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Utrecht concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Go Ahead Eagles matches average only 1.7 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Go Ahead Eagles: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Utrecht: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Go Ahead Eagles: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Go Ahead Eagles825119:1711
13Utrecht822414:258
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Utrecht 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles (half time 0-1).

Did the Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 2.5. The tip lost.