EredivisieMatchday 8

Telstar 2-2 Den Haag: prediction, tips and result

·

Telstar
0-42-20-10-00-1
2-2Full time(half time 2-2)
Den Haag
1-10-22-32-21-3
Stadium:
Rabobank IJmond Stadion, Velsen
Referee:
Erwin Blank

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Lost64%

referee Erwin Blank averages 3.0 card points a match, league average 3.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Fouls – Den Haag: Over 10.5Lost64%

    our numbers for Den Haag: 12.1 fouls against a league average of 10.2; Den Haag: 12.1 fouls a match, Telstar's opponents committed 12.0 on average, league average 10.2

  • Shots on Target – Telstar: Under 5.5Won65%

    Telstar: under 5.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 7 league matches (60% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost43%

referee Erwin Blank averages 3.0 card points a match, league average 3.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTelstar146545%44%Draw26%29%Den Haag145230%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%56%O2.560%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Den Haag0:1TelstarW
  2. Telstar2:0Den HaagW
  3. Telstar1:1Den HaagD
  4. Den Haag1:1TelstarD
  5. Telstar3:1Den HaagW
Telstar's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.1under 3.5: 68%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 3
RefereeE. Blank−0.4 yellow cards vs average33 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Telstar : Den Haag
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%78%78%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes62%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%50%50%
1 – Telstar win45%50% · Elo 44%50%· Elo 44%
Under 2.5 goals40%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
Both teams to score: no38%44%44%
2 – Den Haag win30%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 29%25%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals18%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Telstar attack vs Den Haag defenceattack1417defence1418−1 pts to the attack
Den Haag attack vs Telstar defenceattack1379defence1465−86 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.548%51%
10.536%42%
11.526%34%
12.518%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Telstarwe expect 4.8, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 36%
Den Haagwe expect 4.4, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 22.0 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.572%59%
19.565%50%
20.558%43%
21.551%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Telstarwe expect 9.7, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 49%
Den Haagwe expect 12.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 64%
Referee: 20.3 fouls per match on average (19 matches in our data)+1.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.577%71%
2.553%48%
3.531%28%
4.516%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Telstarwe expect 1.8, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Den Haagwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 29%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Den Haag: no win in 7 matches
  • Den Haag: newly promoted
  • Telstar: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Den Haag: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Telstar

Den Haag

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Telstar81347:146
17Den Haag80359:193
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Telstar vs Den Haag?

Telstar 2-2 Den Haag (half time 2-2).

Did the Telstar vs Den Haag tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5. The tip lost.

See also