EredivisieMatchday 7

AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Referee:
Sander van der Eijk

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost64%

12.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.3 in the visitors', league average 10.4; over 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (57% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: AZ AlkmaarWon76%

    AZ Alkmaar: won 5 of their last 6 league matches

  • Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost55%

    our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAZ Alkmaar174776%73%Draw14%17%Telstar146510%10%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%57%O2.575%62%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Telstar0:1AZ AlkmaarW
  2. AZ Alkmaar2:1TelstarW
AZ Alkmaar's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.4over 9.5: 64%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.2under 4.5: 76%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 76% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. van der Eijk+0.4 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 1.0total 3.9Attack/defence2.2 : 1.0total 3.2
AZ Alkmaar : Telstar
Most likely scores
Market2-18%2-09%1-16%1-0—3-08%3-18%Attack/defence2-110%2-010%1-19%1-09%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%1-11-16%1-19%1-01-0—1-09%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals91%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat90%84%84%
12 – no draw86%80%80%
1 – AZ Alkmaar win76%63% · Elo 73%63%· Elo 73%
Over 2.5 goals75%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes60%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals55%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals45%60%60%
Both teams to score: no40%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals25%38%38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat24%37%37%
X – draw14%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
2 – Telstar win10%17% · Elo 10%17%· Elo 10%
Under 1.5 goals9%17%17%
Attack vs defence
AZ Alkmaar attack vs Telstar defenceattack1581defence1458+123 pts to the attack
Telstar attack vs AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1424defence1580−156 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • AZ Alkmaar matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • AZ Alkmaar score 2.3 goals per game
  • AZ Alkmaar: unbeaten in 12 matches
  • AZ Alkmaar: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Telstar: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3AZ Alkmaar861118:819
15Telstar81347:146
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?

AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar (half time 1-0).

Did the AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.