EliteserienMatchday 23

Start 2-4 HamKam: prediction, tips and result

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Start
0-14-10-22-00-3
2-4Full time(half time 1-1)
HamKam
2-31-50-42-20-3
Stadium:
Sparebanken Sor Arena, Kristiansand
Referee:
Mohammad Usman Aslam

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won60%

under 3.5 yellow cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%

    over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

  • Fouls: Over 20.5Lost68%

    referee Mohammad Usman Aslam averages 23.1 fouls a match, league average 21.0; our numbers: 23.4 fouls against a league average of 21.0

  • Shots on Target – HamKam: Under 3.5Lost56%

    HamKam: under 3.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Start's opponents had under 3.5 in 6 of 10 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStart147253%38%Draw24%27%HamKam155523%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%58%O2.559%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. HamKam2:1StartL
  2. Start2:0HamKamW
  3. HamKam2:2StartD
  4. Start2:1HamKamW
  5. HamKam0:2StartW
Start's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.9under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 0
RefereeM. Usman Aslam−0.1 yellow cards vs average10 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 69% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Start : HamKam
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-2—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%1-28%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-08%2-07%1-21-2—1-28%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%68%68%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals64%68%68%
Over 2.5 goals59%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes59%58%58%
1 – Start win53%43% · Elo 38%43%· Elo 38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals41%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals36%32%32%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
2 – HamKam win23%32% · Elo 35%32%· Elo 35%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Start attack vs HamKam defenceattack1392defence1445−53 pts to the attack
HamKam attack vs Start defenceattack1426defence1416+10 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.555%55%
9.542%43%
10.531%34%
11.522%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Startwe expect 5.8, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 51%
HamKamwe expect 3.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 68%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 32%over
We expect 23.4 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.574%57%
20.568%52%
21.561%43%
22.554%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Startwe expect 10.7, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
HamKamwe expect 10.8, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Referee: 23.1 fouls per match on average (15 matches in our data)+4.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.575%75%
2.551%50%
3.530%28%
4.515%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Startwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
HamKamwe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 39%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • HamKam concede 2.6 goals per game
  • HamKam: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Start: newly promoted
  • Start: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • HamKam: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Start

HamKam

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11HamKam22751033:4626
16Start22441424:4816
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Start vs HamKam?

Start 2-4 HamKam (half time 1-1).

Did the Start vs HamKam tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.

See also