EliteserienMatchday 21

HamKam 1-5 Molde: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Briskeby, Hamar
Referee:
Mischa Kellerhals

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won65%

referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.0 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.6

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

    over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won43%

referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.0 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHamKam155521%32%Draw22%26%Molde168757%42%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.566%57%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Molde4:1HamKamL
  2. Molde1:0HamKamL
  3. HamKam2:1MoldeW
  4. Molde3:0HamKamL
  5. HamKam0:1MoldeL
HamKam's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.8under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.6under 3.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Kellerhals−2.2 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 2.2total 3.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 3.0
HamKam : Molde
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-28%2-1—0-16%1-37%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-26%2-18%0-18%1-3—1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-28%0-26%2-12-1—2-18%0-10-16%0-18%1-31-37%1-3—1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%79%79%
X2 – away team avoid defeat79%66%66%
12 – no draw78%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals66%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes64%60%60%
2 – Molde win57%41% · Elo 42%41%· Elo 42%
Under 3.5 goals55%66%66%
Over 3.5 goals45%34%34%
1X – home team avoid defeat43%59%59%
Both teams to score: no36%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals34%43%43%
X – draw22%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
1 – HamKam win21%34% · Elo 32%34%· Elo 32%
Under 1.5 goals14%21%21%
Attack vs defence
HamKam attack vs Molde defenceattack1424defence1541−117 pts to the attack
Molde attack vs HamKam defenceattack1569defence1469+100 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • HamKam concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Molde score 2.3 goals per game
  • Molde: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • HamKam: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • HamKam: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Molde: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Molde22114746:3437
11HamKam22751033:4626
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of HamKam vs Molde?

HamKam 1-5 Molde (half time 0-1).

Did the HamKam vs Molde tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.