1. LigaMatchday 12
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszow: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%O2.556%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Stal Rzeszow2:2PodbeskidzieD
- Podbeskidzie0:1Stal RzeszowL
- Podbeskidzie2:2Stal RzeszowD
- Stal Rzeszow5:0PodbeskidzieL
Podbeskidzie's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses3.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 11.1under 11.5: 61%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Podbeskidzie : Stal RzeszowMost likely scores
Model1-112%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-28%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-28%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Podbeskidzie win | 42%50% · Elo 44% | 50%· Elo 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Stal Rzeszow win | 32%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 26%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Podbeskidzie attack vs Stal Rzeszow defenceattack1499defence1423+76 pts to the attack
Stal Rzeszow attack vs Podbeskidzie defenceattack1488defence1516−28 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.561%64%
7.547%48%
8.534%36%
9.523%28%
Each team on its own
Podbeskidziewe expect 3.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 3.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 26.9 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.563%54%
25.557%51%
26.551%44%
27.545%36%
Each team on its own
Podbeskidziewe expect 13.3, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 45%
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 13.8, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.562%74%
2.535%49%
3.516%28%
4.56%16%
Each team on its own
Podbeskidziewe expect 1.1, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 0.9, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 24%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Podbeskidzie: newly promoted
- Podbeskidzie: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Stal Rzeszow: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stal Rzeszow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 14 |
| 15 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszow?
Podbeskidzie are the favourites. Chances: Podbeskidzie win 42%, draw 26%, Stal Rzeszow win 32%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszow?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Podbeskidzie 1.6, Stal Rzeszow 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Podbeskidzie vs Stal Rzeszow?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).