1. LigaMatchday 11
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszow: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%55%O2.551%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Pogon Siedlce1:2Stal RzeszowL
- Stal Rzeszow1:1Pogon SiedlceD
- Stal Rzeszow2:4Pogon SiedlceW
- Pogon Siedlce1:1Stal RzeszowD
Pogon Siedlce's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 11.1under 11.5: 57%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.7
Pogon Siedlce : Stal RzeszowMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-1—1-27%2-0—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-09%2-19%0-18%1-28%2-07%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-28%2-02-0—2-07%0-00-07%0-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Pogon Siedlce win | 42%42% · Elo 42% | 42%· Elo 42% |
| 2 – Stal Rzeszow win | 31%32% · Elo 30% | 32%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Pogon Siedlce attack vs Stal Rzeszow defenceattack1407defence1423−16 pts to the attack
Stal Rzeszow attack vs Pogon Siedlce defenceattack1488defence1494−6 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 7.7 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.563%64%
7.549%48%
8.536%36%
9.525%28%
Each team on its own
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 3.5, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 28%
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 26.0 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.557%54%
25.551%51%
26.545%44%
27.539%36%
Each team on its own
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 13.3, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 45%
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 12.8, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 2.4 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.569%74%
2.543%49%
3.522%28%
4.510%16%
Each team on its own
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Stal Rzeszowwe expect 1.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 26%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Pogon Siedlce played 3 days ago
- Stal Rzeszow: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stal Rzeszow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 14 |
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszow?
Pogon Siedlce are the favourites. Chances: Pogon Siedlce win 42%, draw 27%, Stal Rzeszow win 31%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszow?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Pogon Siedlce 1.5, Stal Rzeszow 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszow?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszow?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).