1. LigaMatchday 7
Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%48%O2.550%42%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Puszcza3:0Pogon SiedlceL
- Pogon Siedlce0:0PuszczaD
- Pogon Siedlce0:0PuszczaD
- Puszcza2:3Pogon SiedlceW
Pogon Siedlce's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 11.1under 11.5: 61%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Pogon Siedlce : PuszczaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-18%0-0—2-18%1-28%Attack/defence1-114%1-011%0-111%0-010%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-08%1-011%0-10-18%0-111%0-00-0—0-010%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%68% | 68% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%42% | 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Pogon Siedlce win | 36%37% · Elo 31% | 37%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Puszcza win | 36%34% · Elo 40% | 34%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 28%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%21% | 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%32% | 32% |
Attack vs defence
Pogon Siedlce attack vs Puszcza defenceattack1407defence1528−121 pts to the attack
Puszcza attack vs Pogon Siedlce defenceattack1442defence1494−52 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.563%64%
7.549%48%
8.536%36%
9.525%28%
Each team on its own
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 3.8, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Puszczawe expect 3.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 28.1 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.569%54%
25.563%51%
26.557%44%
27.551%36%
Each team on its own
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 13.4, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 46%
Puszczawe expect 15.0, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 70%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%74%
2.546%49%
3.525%28%
4.511%16%
Each team on its own
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Puszczawe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Puszcza: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Pogon Siedlce: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Puszcza: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:13 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Pogon Siedlce win 36%, draw 28%, Puszcza win 36%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Pogon Siedlce 1.3, Puszcza 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 15 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).