1. LigaMatchday 10
Puszcza 0-1 Polonia: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium, Krakow
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Under 11.5Won62%
9.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.7 in the visitors', league average 11.1; under 11.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (58% of league matches)
For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost39%
9.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.7 in the visitors', league average 11.1; under 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (34% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%54%O2.546%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Puszcza2:1PoloniaW
- Polonia1:1PuszczaD
Puszcza's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.6league 11.1under 11.5: 62%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)74%1X0:1coverageleague 76% · H2H 2/2covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.7
Puszcza : PoloniaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%0-09%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-18%0-07%2-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%0-10-19%0-18%0-00-09%0-07%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Puszcza win | 36%42% · Elo 46% | 42%· Elo 46% |
| 2 – Polonia win | 36%32% · Elo 26% | 32%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%26% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Puszcza attack vs Polonia defenceattack1448defence1482−34 pts to the attack
Polonia attack vs Puszcza defenceattack1507defence1530−23 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.569%64%
7.556%48%
8.543%38%
9.531%29%
Each team on its own
Puszczawe expect 4.1, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Poloniawe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 28.0 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.569%53%
25.563%51%
26.557%44%
27.551%35%
Each team on its own
Puszczawe expect 13.7, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 50%
Poloniawe expect 14.5, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 66%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%74%
2.547%49%
3.526%28%
4.512%17%
Each team on its own
Puszczawe expect 0.9, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 22%
Poloniawe expect 1.7, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Polonia concede 2.1 goals per game
- Polonia: no win in 8 matches
- Puszcza: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Polonia: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Polonia | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:13 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Puszcza vs Polonia?
Puszcza 0-1 Polonia (half time 0-0).
Did the Puszcza vs Polonia tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 11.5. The tip won.